central banks and digital currencies, Overview

2024-12-14 11:18:56

Bai Zhongen: Under special circumstances, short-term breakthrough in deficit and debt may help solve long-term problems. Bai Zhongen, president of Tsinghua University Institute of Economics and Management and vice chairman of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that in the understanding and implementation of policies, there are sometimes some stereotypes, which make us bound by these stereotypes. Breaking these constraints is very important for our policy understanding and policy implementation. The first mindset is that it will bring moral hazard if the central government helps local governments pay their debts. The second mindset, in the past, some people insisted that the deficit should not exceed a certain proportion and the debt should not exceed a certain proportion. He bluntly said that the upper limit of debt and deficit also depends on short-term and long-term. In the long run, we can't have too many deficits and too many debts. Therefore, when we encounter special circumstances in the short term, we should allow the deficit and debt to exceed a certain ratio.Pakistan KSE-100 index opened up 0.3% to 114,767.90.Lingang Group and Cisco signed a memorandum of cooperation to build an intelligent AI+ ecosystem. According to Shanghai Lingang News, Lingang Group and Cisco China signed a memorandum of cooperation on December 11th, and both parties will work together to build an intelligent AI+ ecosystem. Lingang Group will empower Cisco to enhance the core competitiveness and market-oriented application of its core AI products through projects in the fields of AI+ intelligent computing scenarios, vehicle network collaboration and smart travel in industrial zones, and will support Cisco to promote the digital transformation and continuous iteration of industrial zones. Cisco will fully participate in the construction of the AI innovation platform in the industrial zone, help the industrial zone to cultivate and build a digital industry team, and provide all-round assistance for the digital development of the industrial zone.


Reuters opinion polls show that 94% of economists said that the tariffs of US President-elect Trump will have a negative or some negative impact on the Japanese economy; 51 of 52 economists said that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to at least 0.50% before the end of March; 58% of analysts said that the Bank of Japan will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25% in December, compared with 44% in November; The salary increase in Japan's labor negotiations in the next fiscal year is 4.7%, which is lower than the median forecast of 5.1% in this fiscal year.Hikvision signed a cooperation agreement with many parties to jointly promote the digitalization of fishery scenes. On December 11th, Five units signed the agreement: Donghai Fisheries Research Institute of Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences (referred to as Donghai Institute), China Institute of Fishery Machinery and Instruments (referred to as Fishing Machinery Institute), China Institute of Fishery Engineering (referred to as Fishery Engineering Institute), Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as Hikvision) and Boyan Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as Boyan Technology). We will jointly promote the deep integration of scientific research and enterprises, build a joint research platform for scientific and technological innovation driven by "Industry-University-Research", achieve win-win cooperation, and help the layout and rapid development of fishery digital intelligence industry. According to the cooperation agreement, all parties will focus on intelligent breeding, aquaculture, fishing, processing and fishery resources and environmental protection, carry out joint research and industrial application of intelligent equipment, system engineering and data management, and actively carry out talent exchange and technical training by jointly establishing key laboratories, innovation centers, research institutes and other platforms, and jointly declare national, provincial and ministerial projects to enhance the collaborative innovation and application demonstration capacity of digital intelligence fisheries.Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index fell by 1.66%, Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.95%, Hong Kong stocks closed at noon, Hang Seng Index fell by 1.66% and Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.95%. Sunac China fell more than 6%, while Xpeng Motors and CITIC Securities fell more than 4%.


Trader: The Indian central bank may support Indian Rupee by selling dollars through state-owned banks.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Guangdong: In the next five years, 10 billion yuan will be invested to support the development of the tourism industry. On December 12th, a site meeting was held to promote the implementation of the spirit of the provincial tourism development conference in Guangdong. The meeting proposed to promote the implementation of the "three hundred" plan for cultural tourism investment, that is, to promote 100 major projects under construction and 100 key investment projects, to coordinate provincial financial investment of 10 billion yuan to support the development of tourism industry in the next five years, and to accelerate the implementation of the list of 100 major projects under construction and 100 key investment projects.

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